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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/8/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 53.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted overall this year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.

Over the last 18 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 5.5 three attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, branding this as a strong matchup.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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