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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 54.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 12.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.3 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, branding this as a positive matchup.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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