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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has sunk 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
  • Aaron Nesmith has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
  • In regard to threes, the Pacers's remarkable 38.0% rate of converted threes playing at home measures as the 7th-strongest in the league this year.
  • The 6th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
  • The Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 1.3 three-pointers per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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