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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The Pacers rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.

The 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

The Pacers will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.0 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a hard matchup.

The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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