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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/11/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's played overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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