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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/4/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league while playing at home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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