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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made in all games this year.
  • Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
  • In terms of 3-point shots, the Pacers's exceptional 38.3% rate of successful threes at home ranks 5th-strongest in the NBA this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while at home.
  • The Pacers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace away team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on three-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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