My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has committed a measly 2.6 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.5 fouls per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.5).

The matchup against Jaime Jaquez Jr. is a positive one for three-point shots; when Jaquez Jr. is playing at home opposing starting SFs this year, they have sunk an enormous 43.6% of their three-point shots (97th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Heat).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Aaron Nesmith should experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™