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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

In regard to 3-point shots, the Pacers's outstanding 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 4th-most in the league this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a strong one for threes; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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