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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/24/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 39.6% of his three-pointers on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

With respect to three-pointers, the Pacers's exceptional 38.4% rate of sunk threes while at home rates 4th-strongest in the league this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Aaron Nesmith will likely see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the least three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA playing at home with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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