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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/20/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+152/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -213 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.3).

The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.

The Pacers will likely see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the speediest pace team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has shot and missed 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's missed from three over the course of the year.

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).

The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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