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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 2.7.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has shot and missed 2.6 attempts from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's missed over the course of the year.

The Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith should see a decline in output for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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