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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/1/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-208/+158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +170 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 88th percentile for three-point efficiency playing at home with a superb 43.3% rate this year.

The Pacers rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year.

The Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Aaron Nesmith will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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