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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 48.2% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

In regard to treys, the Pacers's outstanding 38.7% rate of drained threes while on their home court ranks 5th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Detroit Pistons are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (45.0%).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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