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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/17/2024

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 93rd percentile for 3-point performance with a terrific 41.4% rate this year.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive team in the league when playing at home over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The matchup vs. New York is a good one for 3-point shots; when the New York Knicks are on the road, opposing starting SFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the league this year (48.0%).

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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