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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/2/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-218/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 42.3% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 6.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with respect to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Pacers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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