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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-167/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made a whopping 42.4% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly more than his 32.8 mark last season.

Aaron Nesmith has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's played over the course of the season.

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pacers.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.6 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, marking this as a positive matchup.

The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.1 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

The Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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