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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/23/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last year's 32.8% rate, Aaron Nesmith's three-point performance has spiked this year to 42.8%.
  • The Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year.
  • With respect to shots from downtown, the Indiana Pacers's poor 28.4% rate of drained threes when playing away from home places worst in the league over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 3.8 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks, designating this as a tough matchup.
  • The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
  • Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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