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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In comparison to last year's 32.8% clip, Aaron Nesmith's three-point efficiency has increased this year to 43.2%.
  • The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game this year.
  • Over the last 25 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.8 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, branding this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
  • Aaron Nesmith ought to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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