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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/9/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk a whopping 43.7% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit more than his 32.8 mark last year.

The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

The Raptors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (100th percentile).

The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Raptors are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).

Aaron Nesmith figures to see a decline in output for all stats in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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