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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point prowess has jumped this season to 43.8%.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the league playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Aaron Nesmith stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 25.5% on threes (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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