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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-194/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -194.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 45.2% of his 3-point shots this year, significantly higher than his 32.8 rate last year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (best in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Golden State Warriors).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (99th percentile).

Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 4thworst in in the league when playing on the road with only 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production across the board.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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