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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -196 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's three-point effectiveness has increased this season to 45.3%.

Aaron Nesmith has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this year.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 16 games when the Detroit Pistons are on their home court (5.5).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (100th percentile).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 7thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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