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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/18/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made an impressive 45.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a big improvement over his 32.8 rate last year.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making this a difficult matchup.

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cavaliers).

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