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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -195 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk an impressive 45.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit higher than his 32.8 rate last season.

In regard to treys, the Pacers's impressive 39.2% rate of made threes on their home court measures as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 23.9% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the least up-tempo tempo road team in the league this year (the Bulls).

The Pacers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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