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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/10/2024

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point effectiveness has jumped this year to 45.8%.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 three-pointers per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).

Aaron Nesmith should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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