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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-178/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -164 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has made an impressive 46.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit higher than his 32.8 rate last season.
  • Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (99th percentile).
  • This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 1.5 three-pointers per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, marking this as a challenging matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • When playing at home, the Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Nesmith stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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