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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 43.2% of his three-point attempts without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

In terms of shots from downtown, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA this year.

The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Raptors are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 6.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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