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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/1/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 42.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 5.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The speediest pace road team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 1.3 three-pointers per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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