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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/30/2024

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 86th percentile for three-point proficiency when playing away from home with a a very good 42.2% rate this year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, marking this as a strong matchup.

The speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Celtics).

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (maintaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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