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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 48.7% of his attempts from downtown this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year in terms of three-point shots.

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 29th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.3).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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