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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 96th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a an exceptional 48.7% rate this year.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 5.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

The Pacers have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup against Phoenix is a strong one for threes; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have compiled the 23rd-highest three percentage in the league this year (41.1%).

The speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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