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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/23/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point prowess with a a very good 48.2% rate this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Nesmith ought to see a spike in production for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.

Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

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