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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Indiana Pacers's excellent 41.7% rate of converted threes at home comes in as the strongest in the league this year.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 6.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith figures to see an increase in output in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

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