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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

The Pacers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (26th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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