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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/1/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+134/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +141 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.4 fouls per game this year.

Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged 3.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a hard matchup.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, their opposition has come down with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

Aaron Nesmith stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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