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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 90th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a phenomenal 43.3% rate this year.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 5.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.

In terms of threes, the Pacers's stellar 15.9 drained threes per game on their home court measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a hard one for threes; the other team has shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (30.9%).

The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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