My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made a whopping 44.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly more than his 32.8 mark last season.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.8 mark last year.

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from downtown.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game on the road this year.

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged the 8th-most treys per game in the league against them this year (13.4).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Nesmith ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™