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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/27/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 59.5% of his three-pointers this year, significantly more than his 38.1 rate last year.

When it comes to shots from downtown, the Indiana Pacers's outstanding 15.7 successful threes per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.

The Pacers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Trail Blazers).

Aaron Nesmith should see an increase in output for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Trail Blazers are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 12th-least three-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (1.3).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).

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