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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 32.8% rate, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point ability has increased this year to 49.9%.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year in regard to 3-point attempts.

The fastest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith places in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.0 fouls per game away from home this year.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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