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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point performance has spiked this year to 52.9%.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Indiana Pacers's superb 39.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage places 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, their opposition has shot 33.0% on three-pointers (9th-worst in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a hard matchup.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise plays for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.

This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting squad (36.6).

The Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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