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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 60.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 28.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

The matchup against New York is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.2).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.1 fouls per game last season.

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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