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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while at home.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 fouls per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.

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