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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.9).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.1 fouls per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.

The Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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