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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (6.3).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 23.1% of his three-point shots without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 0.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, -1.2 lower than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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