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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +142 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which also provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.
  • The Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one for threes; on the road, their opposition have averaged the most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (10.9).
  • Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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