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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/21/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year in terms of shots from downtown.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league this year.

The matchup against the Suns is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the 8th-highest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (34.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has failed to make 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Pacers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.2).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production in all stat categories.

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