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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 3/11/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's played overall this season.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

Aaron Nesmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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