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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while at home.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace away team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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