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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 2/1/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Aaron Nesmith will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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